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Premier League
Premier League England
16.04.2025 18:30 UTC Match prediction
16.04.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Newcastle - Crystal Palace

England Football
Newcastle
Newcastle
5 : 0
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Crystal Palace April 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.96 / 2 4.73
  • 1X2 market: Newcastle 55.2% / X 24.4% / Crystal Palace 20.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 55.2%
X 24.4%
2 20.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 55.5%
Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.04.2025 18:30 UTC
Match center

Newcastle - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.96 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.75 57.1%
X 3.96 25.3%
4.73 21.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.17 46.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.74 57.5%
Under 2.5 2.17 46.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.31 76.3%
3.60 27.8%
Match center
Newcastle
W W W L L
13.04 15:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 4:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
07.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 3:0 Leicester
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 ChelseaChelsea
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:1 BrightonBrighton
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Crystal Palace
L W D W L
12.04 11:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:5 Manchester CityManchester City
05.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:1 BrightonBrighton
02.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 SouthamptonSouthampton
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
21.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Crystal Palace

Newcastle
0 matches total
Crystal Palace
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history