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Premier League England

04.01.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

04.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Newcastle - Crystal Palace

England Football

Newcastle

2 : 0

Finished

Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Crystal Palace January 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.97 / 2 5.26
1X2 market: Newcastle 57.8% / X 24.0% / Crystal Palace 18.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 57.8%

X 24.0%

2 18.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 52.7%

Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.01.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Newcastle - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.28 market consensus · line only

X 3.98 market consensus · line only

1 1.65 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.28 market consensus · line only

12 1.25 market consensus · line only

1X 1.17 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.67 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.98 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.64 61.0%
X	4.11 24.3%
	5.45 18.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.63 61.4%	1.64 61.0%	1.71 58.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%
X	3.90 25.6%	4.10 24.4%	4.11 24.3%	3.70 27.0%	4.15 24.1%	3.90 25.6%
	5.30 18.9%	5.30 18.9%	5.38 18.6%	4.75 21.1%	5.40 18.5%	5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.93 51.8%	1.99 50.3%	1.96 51.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.10 47.6%	1.93 51.8%	2.01 49.8%	1.95 51.3%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	2.25 44.4%	2.28 43.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.32 43.1%	2.36 42.4%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.28 78.1%	1.25 80.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%

Match center

Newcastle

W L D L W

30.12 19:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:1 Burnley

26.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:1 Manchester United

20.12 12:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:2 Chelsea

14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:1 Sunderland

06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 2:1 Burnley

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Crystal Palace

D L L L W

01.01 17:30 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:1 Fulham

28.12 16:30 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 0:1 Tottenkhem

20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:4 Leeds

14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 0:3 Manchester City

07.12 16:30 UTC Premier League

Crystal Palace 2:1 Fulham

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.0 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Crystal Palace

Newcastle

1 matches total

Crystal Palace

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Crystal Palace: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Nyukasl 5:0 (16.04 18:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (5:0, 16.04 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

16.04 18:30 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

5:0

Kristal Pelas