Premier League
Premier League England
28.02.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Newcastle - Everton

England Futbol
Newcastle
Newcastle
2 : 3
Finished
Everton
Everton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Everton 28 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.84 / 2 4.38
  • 1X2 market: Newcastle 53.4% / X 24.8% / Everton 21.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 53.5%
X 24.8%
2 21.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 54.9%
Under 2.5 45.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.02.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Newcastle - Everton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.39 market consensus · line only
X 3.84 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.81 55.3%
Х 3.88 25.8%
П2 4.49 22.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%
Х 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.45 22.5% 4.57 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Newcastle
L W L L L
21.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 Manchester CityManchester City
10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
07.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:3 BrentfordBrentford
31.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:4 LiverpulLiverpul
25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
3 Points
Everton
L L W D D
23.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:2 BournemouthBournemouth
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:1 FulhamFulham
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 BrightonBrighton
26.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:1 LeedsLeeds
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Everton

Newcastle
3 matches total
Everton
Newcastle: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Everton: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Nyukasl 4:1 (29.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 29.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (05.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.11 17:30 UTC Premier League
Nyukasl
4:1
Everton
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Nyukasl
0:1
Everton
05.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Nyukasl
0:0
Everton