Premier League
Premier League England
25.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Newcastle - Fulham

England Futbol
Newcastle
Newcastle
2 : 1
Finished
Fulham
Fulham

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Fulham 25 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.03 / 2 5.52
  • 1X2 market: Newcastle 59.0% / X 23.7% / Fulham 17.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 59.0%
X 23.7%
2 17.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 51.4%
Under 2.5 48.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Newcastle - Fulham

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.55 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.36 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.59 62.9%
Х 4.25 23.5%
П2 6.00 16.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.61 62.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6%
Х 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4% 4.24 23.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%
П2 5.10 19.6% 5.80 17.2% 5.77 17.3% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.25 44.4% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.40 41.7%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Newcastle
L W L D W
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 BrightonBrighton
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
28.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 ArsenalArsenal
21.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:0 BournemouthBournemouth
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:0 WolvesWolves
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Fulham
L L L W W
18.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Fulham 0:1 ArsenalArsenal
03.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:3 BournemouthBournemouth
28.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
20.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 3:1 BrentfordBrentford
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Fulham 1:0 LeedsLeeds
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Fulham

Newcastle
1 matches total
Fulham
Newcastle: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Fulham: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Fulham 1:3 (21.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 21.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nyukasl
1:3
Fulham