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Premier League England

23.08.2026 15:30 UTC

Not started

Premier League

Newcastle - Liverpool

England Football

Newcastle

- : -

Not started

Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Liverpool August 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.00 / X 3.90 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 31.9%

X 24.6%

2 43.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.08.2026 15:30 UTC

Match center

Newcastle - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.20 Fonbet · line only

X 3.90 Fonbet · line only

1 3.00 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.28 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.70 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.80 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.65 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.65 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.42 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	2.65 37.7%
yes	1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.28 78.1%
1x	1.70 58.8%
x2	1.42 70.4%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.40 71.4%
	1.30 76.9%
	1.12 89.3%
	1.10 90.9%
	4.40 22.7%
	5.10 19.6%
	2.20 45.5%
	2.80 35.7%
	3.30 30.3%
	5.00 20.0%
	5.50 18.2%
	1.15 87.0%
	1.12 89.3%
	1.65 60.6%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 0.5	1.01 99.0%
Over 1	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5	1.13 88.5%
Over 2	1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5	1.47 68.0%
Over 3	1.70 58.8%
Over 3.5	2.12 47.2%
Over 4	2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5	3.35 29.9%
Over 5	5.30 18.9%
Over 5.5	5.90 17.0%
Under 0.5	11.00 9.1%
Under 1	9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5	4.80 20.8%
Under 2	4.30 23.3%
Under 2.5	2.60 38.5%
Under 3	2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5	1.72 58.1%

Match center

Newcastle

L W D W L

24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:2 Fulham

17.05 16:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:1 West Ham

10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 1:1 Nottingem Forest

02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 3:1 Brighton

25.04 16:30 UTC Premier League

Newcastle 0:1 Arsenal

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Liverpool

D L D L W

24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:1 Brentford

15.05 19:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:4 Aston Villa

09.05 11:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 1:1 Chelsea

03.05 14:30 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 2:3 Manchester United

25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Liverpool 3:1 Kristal Pelas

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.0 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Liverpool

Newcastle

2 matches total

Liverpool

Newcastle: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Liverpool: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Liverpul 1:4 (31.01 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 31.01 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

31.01 20:00 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

1:4

Liverpul

25.08 19:00 UTC

Premier League

Nyukasl

2:3

Liverpul