Match center
Start
28.09.2024 11:30 UTC
28.09.2024 11:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Newcastle - Manchester City
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Newcastle - Manchester City 28 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.55 / X 4.51 / 2 1.59
- 1X2 market: Newcastle 17.5% / X 21.5% / Manchester City 61.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.1%
1
17.5%
X
21.5%
2
61.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Newcastle - Manchester City
Form
3/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.59
market consensus · line only
X
4.51
market consensus · line only
1
5.55
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.18
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
2.51
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 5.55 18.0% |
| Х | 4.51 22.2% |
| П2 | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.18 84.8% |
| home_away | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_draw | 2.51 39.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.35 23.0% |
| П2 | 1.25 80.0% |
Match center
Newcastle
L
W
W
21.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
1:3
Fulham
Fulham
15.09 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
2:1
Wolves
Wolves
01.09 12:30 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
2:1
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.7
Scored
1.7
Conceded
6
Points
Manchester City
D
W
22.09 15:30 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
2:2
Arsenal
Arsenal
14.09 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Manchester City
2:1
Brentford
Brentford
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Manchester City
Newcastle
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals