Premier League
Premier League England
22.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Newcastle - Manchester City

England Futbol
Newcastle
Newcastle
2 : 1
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Manchester City 22 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.72 / X 3.68 / 2 1.98
  • 1X2 market: Newcastle 25.7% / X 26.0% / Manchester City 48.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 25.7%
X 26.0%
2 48.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 56.5%
Under 2.5 43.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Newcastle - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 3.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.84 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.90 25.6%
Х 3.78 26.5%
П2 1.97 50.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.68 27.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.77 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
П2 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.28 43.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.39 41.8%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Newcastle
L L W L W
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
02.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:3 West HamWest Ham
25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:1 FulhamFulham
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 BrightonBrighton
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 2:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Manchester City
W W L W W
09.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 LiverpulLiverpul
02.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:1 BournemouthBournemouth
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 EvertonEverton
05.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 BrentfordBrentford
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Manchester City

Newcastle
1 matches total
Manchester City
Newcastle: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Manchester City: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 28.09 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 11:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Nyukasl
1:1
Manchester City