Match center
Start
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
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05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Newcastle - Nottingham Forest
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Newcastle - Nottingham Forest October 5, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.
Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 4.49 / 2 6.10
- 1X2 market: Newcastle 63.0% / X 21.3% / Nottingham Forest 15.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
63.0%
X
21.3%
2
15.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
57.8%
Under 2.5
42.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Newcastle - Nottingham Forest
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.12
market consensus · line only
X
4.50
market consensus · line only
1
1.52
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.58
market consensus · line only
12
1.21
market consensus · line only
1X
1.14
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.58
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.03
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.65
market consensus · line only
2 +1
10.00
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.66
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.27
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.02
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 4.63 21.6% |
| 6.46 15.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 4.45 22.5% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.64 21.6% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.55 22.0% |
| 6.00 16.7% | 5.60 17.9% | 6.23 16.1% | 5.75 17.4% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.01 49.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.07 48.3% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.55 39.2% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.65 37.7% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.12 89.3% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% |
Match center
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Conceded
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Points
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Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
0
Wins
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Draws
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Losses
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Scored
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Conceded
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Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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