Match center
Start
17.05.2026 16:30 UTC
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17.05.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Newcastle - West Ham
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Newcastle - West Ham May 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.
Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.81 / 2 3.11
- 1X2 market: Newcastle 44.3% / X 25.0% / West Ham 30.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 61.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
44.3%
X
25.0%
2
30.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
61.6%
Under 2.5
38.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: Newcastle
Main outcome
Newcastle
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
45.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Newcastle - West Ham
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
3:1
Events
16
Statistics
22
Lineups
40
min
Event
Player
Team
15'
15' Normal Goal | N. Woltemade | assist/sub out: H. Barnes
N. Woltemade
Newcastle
19'
19' Normal Goal | W. Osula | assist/sub out: J. Ramsey
William Osula
Newcastle
26'
26' Substitution 1 | J. Todibo | assist/sub out: T. Castellanos
J. Todibo
West Ham
53'
53' Substitution 1 | S. Tonali | assist/sub out: J. Willock
S. Tonali
Newcastle
59'
59' Yellow Card | T. Soucek
T. Soucek
West Ham
63'
63' Substitution 2 | A. Wan-Bissaka | assist/sub out: Pablo
A. Wan-Bissaka
West Ham
63'
63' Substitution 3 | T. Soucek | assist/sub out: M. Kante
T. Soucek
West Ham
65'
65' Normal Goal | W. Osula | assist/sub out: J. Willock
William Osula
Newcastle
Metric
Newcastle
West Ham
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.73
0.95
final
Zablokirovannye udary
6
4
final
Shots off target
2
3
final
Shots on target
7
8
final
Udary vsego
15
15
final
Fouls soversheno
8
11
final
Zheltye kartochki
1
3
final
Offsides
2
2
final
Newcastle
#1 Nick Pope, #3 L. Hall, #8 S. Tonali, #18 William Osula, #41 Jacob Ramsey, #4 Sven Botman, #27 N. Woltemade, #39 Bruno Guimaraes, #11 H. Barnes, #12 M. Thiaw, #2 Kieran Trippier
West Ham
#1 M. Hermansen, #7 Crysencio Summerville, #9 C. Wilson, #12 M. Diouf, #25 J. Todibo, #15 K. Mavropanos, #18 Mateus Fernandes, #20 J. Bowen, #4 Axel Disasi, #28 T. Soucek, #29 A. Wan-Bissaka
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
Anthony Elanga
Newcastle
football.player.assists
0
Anthony Elanga
Newcastle
football.player.minutes_played
13
Bruno Guimaraes
Newcastle
football.player.assists
0
Bruno Guimaraes
Newcastle
football.player.minutes_played
90
D. Burn
Newcastle
football.player.assists
0
D. Burn
Newcastle
football.player.minutes_played
15
H. Barnes
Newcastle
football.player.assists
1
H. Barnes
Newcastle
football.player.minutes_played
75
Jacob Murphy
Newcastle
football.player.assists
0
Jacob Murphy
Newcastle
football.player.minutes_played
15
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.11
market consensus · line only
X
3.81
market consensus · line only
1
2.15
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.69
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.37
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.72
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.36
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.02
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.53
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.45
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.58
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.46
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.16 46.3% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 2.96 33.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.55 39.2% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.75 36.4% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.41 70.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.65 60.6% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.38 72.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.34 74.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.49 67.1% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.62 61.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — |
Match center
Newcastle
D
W
L
L
L
10.05 13:00 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
1:1
Nottingem Forest
Nottingem Forest
02.05 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
3:1
Brighton
Brighton
25.04 16:30 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
0:1
Arsenal
Arsenal
18.04 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
1:2
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
12.04 13:00 UTC
Premier League
Newcastle
1:2
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
4
Points
West Ham
L
L
W
D
W
10.05 15:30 UTC
Premier League
West Ham
0:1
Arsenal
Arsenal
02.05 14:00 UTC
Premier League
West Ham
0:3
Brentford
Brentford
25.04 14:00 UTC
Premier League
West Ham
2:1
Everton
Everton
20.04 19:00 UTC
Premier League
West Ham
0:0
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
10.04 19:00 UTC
Premier League
West Ham
4:0
Wolves
Wolves
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - West Ham
Newcastle
1
matches total
Newcastle: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
West Ham: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
West Ham 1:3 (02.11 14:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 02.11 14:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
02.11 14:00 UTC
Premier League
Premier League
Nyukasl
1:3
West Ham
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