Premier League
Premier League England
30.11.2025 14:05 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Brighton

England Futbol
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2
Finished
Brighton
Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Brighton 30 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.71 / X 3.34 / 2 2.64
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 35.3% / X 28.6% / Brighton 36.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 35.2%
X 28.6%
2 36.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 50.8%
Under 2.5 49.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 30.11.2025 14:05 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 2.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.78 36.0%
Х 3.41 29.3%
П2 2.67 37.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.65 37.7% 2.76 36.2% 2.81 35.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
П2 2.65 37.7% 2.58 38.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.27 44.1%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
W W D L L
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:0 LiverpulLiverpul
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:1 LeedsLeeds
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:2 BournemouthBournemouth
18.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:3 ChelseaChelsea
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Brighton
W D W L W
22.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
01.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 3:0 LeedsLeeds
25.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:4 Manchester UnitedManchester United
18.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Brighton 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - Brighton

Nottingham Forest
1 matches total
Brighton
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Brighton: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 22.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (22.09 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
2:2
Brighton