Premier League
Premier League England
18.10.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Chelsea

England Futbol
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
0 : 3
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Chelsea 18 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.37 / X 3.64 / 2 2.14
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 28.6% / X 26.5% / Chelsea 44.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 28.6%
X 26.4%
2 45.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 55.0%
Under 2.5 45.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · line only
X 3.65 market consensus · line only
1 3.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.75 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.40 29.4%
Х 3.72 26.9%
П2 2.15 46.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 3.30 30.3% 3.47 28.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
Х 3.65 27.4% 3.68 27.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.72 26.9% 3.72 26.9%
П2 2.16 46.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.38 42.0% 2.26 44.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.23 44.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
L L D L L
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:2 NyukaslNyukasl
27.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 SunderlandSunderland
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
13.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:3 ArsenalArsenal
31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:3 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Chelsea
W L L D W
04.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:3 BrightonBrighton
20.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
13.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
30.08 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:0 FulhamFulham
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - Chelsea

Nottingham Forest
2 matches total
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Chelsea: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Chelsea 0:1 (25.05 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 06.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
0:1
Chelsea
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
1:1
Chelsea