Premier League
Premier League England
21.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace

England Futbol
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace 21 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 3.29 / 2 3.22
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 40.2% / X 29.6% / Crystal Palace 30.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 40.2%
X 29.6%
2 30.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 41.0%
Under 2.5 59.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.22 market consensus · line only
X 3.29 market consensus · line only
1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.42 41.3%
Х 3.29 30.4%
П2 3.22 31.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.39 71.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.36 42.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.69 59.2%
П2 2.26 44.3%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
D L D W
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 FulhamFulham
22.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 BrightonBrighton
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:0 LiverpulLiverpul
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Crystal Palace
L L D D D
05.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:1 LiverpulLiverpul
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 EvertonEverton
21.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 0:0 Manchester UnitedManchester United
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:2 Leicester
01.09 12:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points