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Premier League
Premier League England
22.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Leeds

England Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
- : -
Not started
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Leeds August 22, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / X 3.55 / 2 3.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 43.3%
X 26.9%
2 29.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.08.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.37 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.33 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.30 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.37 73.0%
x2 1.70 58.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.12 89.3%
1.09 91.7%
3.00 33.3%
3.70 27.0%
6.50 15.4%
7.50 13.3%
1.60 62.5%
5.00 20.0%
5.70 17.5%
1.33 75.2%
1.25 80.0%
1.06 94.3%
1.05 95.2%
2.30 43.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 1 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.5 1.78 56.2%
Over 3 2.20 45.5%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Over 4 4.15 24.1%
Over 4.5 4.80 20.8%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1 7.60 13.2%
Under 1.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 2 3.10 32.3%
Under 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 3 1.62 61.7%
Under 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 4 1.18 84.8%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
D L D W W
24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
17.05 11:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
10.05 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:1 NyukaslNyukasl
04.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
24.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 5:0 SunderlandSunderland
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Leeds
L W D W D
24.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:3 West HamWest Ham
17.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:0 BrightonBrighton
11.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 TottenkhemTottenkhem
01.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 BurnleyBurnley
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - Leeds

Nottingham Forest
2 matches total
Leeds
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Leeds: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Leeds 1:3 (06.02 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 06.02 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
1:3
Leeds
09.11 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
3:1
Leeds