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Premier League
Premier League England
01.04.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
01.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Manchester United

England Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Manchester United April 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.38 / 2 3.24
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 41.2% / X 28.8% / Manchester United 30.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 41.2%
X 28.8%
2 30.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 2.36 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.36 42.4%
X 3.38 29.6%
3.24 30.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.5 1.86 53.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.67 59.9%
2.30 43.5%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
W W D L D
25.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:1 Leicester
21.10 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:1 ChelseaChelsea
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 FulhamFulham
22.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 2:2 BrightonBrighton
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Manchester United
L W D L D
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:2 West HamWest Ham
19.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
06.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
29.09 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 TottenkhemTottenkhem
21.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points