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Premier League
Premier League England
01.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Manchester United

England Football
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
2 : 2
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Manchester United November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.44 / X 3.76 / 2 2.07
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 28.0% / X 25.6% / Manchester United 46.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 28.0%
X 25.6%
2 46.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.4%
Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Manchester United

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 3.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.78 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.52 28.4%
X 3.78 26.5%
2.08 48.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
3.50 28.6% 3.51 28.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.44 29.1% 3.52 28.4% 3.52 28.4%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.86 25.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.78 26.5% 3.78 26.5% 3.78 26.5%
2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.08 48.1% 2.08 48.1% 2.08 48.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.27 44.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.64 61.0% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
L L L L D
26.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:2 BournemouthBournemouth
18.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:3 ChelseaChelsea
05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:2 NyukaslNyukasl
27.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 0:1 SunderlandSunderland
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:1 BurnleyBurnley
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Manchester United
W W W L W
25.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 4:2 BrightonBrighton
19.10 15:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
04.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:0 SunderlandSunderland
27.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:3 BrentfordBrentford
20.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - Manchester United

Nottingham Forest
1 matches total
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester United: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nottingem Forest 1:0 (01.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 01.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
1:0
Manchester United