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Premier League
Premier League England
10.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Nottingham Forest - Newcastle

England Football
Stadium City Ground
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1 : 1
Finished
Newcastle
Newcastle

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Newcastle May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.95 / X 3.51 / 2 2.33
  • 1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 32.2% / X 27.1% / Newcastle 40.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 32.2%
X 27.1%
2 40.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 55.3%
Under 2.5 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Nottingham Forest - Newcastle

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.22 market consensus · line only
X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1 3.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.29 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.55 39.2% 3.13 32.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.55 39.2% 2.39 41.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.0 1.31 76.3%
Over 2.25 1.58 63.3%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2%
Over 3.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5 1.44 69.4%
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Nottingham Forest
W W W D W
04.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
24.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 5:0 SunderlandSunderland
19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 4:1 BurnleyBurnley
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 1:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
Nottingham Forest 3:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Newcastle
W L L L L
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 3:1 BrightonBrighton
25.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 0:1 ArsenalArsenal
18.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 BournemouthBournemouth
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
22.03 12:00 UTC Premier League
Newcastle 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - Newcastle

Nottingham Forest
1 matches total
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Newcastle: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nyukasl 0:2 (05.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 05.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Nottingem Forest
0:2
Nyukasl