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Premier League England

27.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

27.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Nottingham Forest - Sunderland

England Football

Nottingham Forest

0 : 1

Finished

Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Sunderland September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nottingham Forest.

Line favourite market consensus: Nottingham Forest. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 3.76 / 2 4.87
1X2 market: Nottingham Forest 54.9% / X 25.4% / Sunderland 19.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 54.9%

X 25.4%

2 19.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%

Over 2.5 47.8%

Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 27.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Nottingham Forest - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.87 market consensus · line only

X 3.76 market consensus · line only

1 1.74 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.12 market consensus · line only

12 1.28 market consensus · line only

1X 1.19 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.64 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.52 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.85 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.78 56.2%
X	3.79 26.4%
	4.82 20.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.71 58.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.81 55.3%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.75 26.7%	3.83 26.1%	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%	3.95 25.3%
	4.90 20.4%	4.85 20.6%	4.92 20.3%	4.80 20.8%	4.75 21.1%	5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.89 52.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.87 53.5%	1.83 54.6%	1.92 52.1%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.92 52.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.10 47.6%	2.11 47.4%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%	2.11 47.4%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.17 85.5%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%

Match center

Nottingham Forest

D L L D W

20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Burnley

13.09 11:30 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:3 Arsenal

31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:3 West Ham

24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 1:1 Kristal Pelas

17.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Nottingham Forest 3:1 Brentford

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

5 Points

Sunderland

D D W L W

21.09 13:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:1 Aston Villa

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:0 Kristal Pelas

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 2:1 Brentford

23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:2 Burnley

16.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 3:0 West Ham

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNottingham Forest - Sunderland

Nottingham Forest

0 matches total

Sunderland

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Nottingham Forest - Sunderland

AI match prediction Nottingham Forest - Sunderland September 27, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

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Nottingham Forest - Sunderland

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history