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Premier League
Premier League Egypt
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

Egypt

Pharco - Ghazl El Mehalla

Egypt Football
Stadium Borg El Arab Stadium
Pharco
Pharco
1 : 1
Finished
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ghazl El Mehalla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pharco - Ghazl El Mehalla April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pharco.

Line favourite market consensus: Pharco. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 2.69 / 2 2.99
  • 1X2 market: Pharco 35.3% / X 34.1% / Ghazl El Mehalla 30.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 35.3%
X 34.1%
2 30.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.9%
Over 2.5 31.5%
Under 2.5 68.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Pharco - Ghazl El Mehalla

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.99 market consensus · line only
X 2.69 market consensus · line only
1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.05 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.56 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
2.54 39.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.54 39.4% 2.68 37.3% 2.62 38.2%
X 2.66 37.6% 2.80 35.7% 2.66 37.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.60 38.5%
2.93 34.1% 3.00 33.3% 2.93 34.1% 3.09 32.4% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Betfair Marathonbet William Hill
no 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Betfair Marathonbet William Hill
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.31 76.3% 1.40 71.4% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 0.75 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.0 1.16 86.2%
Over 1.25 1.38 72.5%
Over 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Over 1.75 1.78 56.2%
Over 2.0 2.14 46.7%
Over 2.25 2.49 40.2%
Over 2.5 2.88 34.7%
Over 2.75 3.58 27.9%
Over 3.0 5.15 19.4%
Over 3.25 5.60 17.9%
Over 3.5 6.05 16.5%
Over 3.75 8.10 12.4%
Over 4.5 15.00 6.7%
Under 0.5 5.35 18.7%
Under 0.75 4.75 21.1%
Under 1.0 4.05 24.7%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPharco - Ghazl El Mehalla

Pharco
0 matches total
Ghazl El Mehalla
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history