Premier League
Premier League England
25.05.2025 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Southampton - Arsenal

England Futbol
Southampton
Southampton
1 : 2
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Southampton - Arsenal 25 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 11.90 / X 6.98 / 2 1.23
  • 1X2 market: Southampton 8.1% / X 13.8% / Arsenal 78.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 8.1%
X 13.8%
2 78.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.05.2025 15:00 UTC
Match center

Southampton - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.23 market consensus · line only
X 6.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 4.49 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 11.90 8.4%
Х 6.98 14.3%
П2 1.23 81.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.06 94.3%
home_away 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 4.49 22.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 3.5 1.88 53.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 9.97 10.0%
П2 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Southampton
L D L L D
18.05 11:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 0:2 EvertonEverton
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 0:0 Manchester CityManchester City
03.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 0:2 Leicester
26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:2 FulhamFulham
19.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:1 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Arsenal
W D L D W
18.05 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
11.05 15:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 LiverpulLiverpul
03.05 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:2 BournemouthBournemouth
23.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
20.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:0 IpswichIpswich
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySouthampton - Arsenal

Southampton
1 matches total
Arsenal
Southampton: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Arsenal 1:3 (05.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 05.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton
1:3
Arsenal