Premier League
Premier League England
21.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Southampton - Ipswich

England Futbol
Southampton
Southampton
1 : 1
Finished
Ipswich
Ipswich

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Southampton - Ipswich 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Southampton.

Line favourite market consensus: Southampton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 3.51 / 2 3.39
  • 1X2 market: Southampton 43.6% / X 27.7% / Ipswich 28.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 43.6%
X 27.7%
2 28.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Southampton - Ipswich

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.39 market consensus · line only
X 3.51 market consensus · line only
1 2.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.23 44.8%
Х 3.51 28.5%
П2 3.39 29.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.72 58.1%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.04 49.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.60 62.5%
П2 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Southampton
L
14.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Southampton 0:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Ipswich
D
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Ipswich 0:0 BrightonBrighton
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySouthampton - Ipswich

Southampton
0 matches total
Ipswich
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history