Premier League
Premier League England
19.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Southampton - Leicester

England Futbol
Southampton
Southampton
2 : 3
Finished
Leicester
Leicester

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Southampton - Leicester 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Southampton.

Line favourite market consensus: Southampton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 3.50 / 2 3.41
  • 1X2 market: Southampton 43.6% / X 27.8% / Leicester 28.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 43.6%
X 27.8%
2 28.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.4%
Under 2.5 45.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 14:00 UTC
Match center

Southampton - Leicester

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.23 44.8%
Х 3.50 28.6%
П2 3.41 29.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.71 58.5%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.78 56.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.12 47.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.60 62.5%
П2 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Southampton
L L D L
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:3 ArsenalArsenal
30.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:3 BournemouthBournemouth
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Southampton 1:1 IpswichIpswich
14.09 11:30 UTC Premier League
Southampton 0:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Leicester
W L D D
05.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 1:0 BournemouthBournemouth
28.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 2:4 ArsenalArsenal
21.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 1:1 EvertonEverton
14.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leicester 2:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySouthampton - Leicester

Southampton
0 matches total
Leicester
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history