Premier League
Premier League England
14.09.2024 11:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Southampton - Manchester United

England Futbol
Southampton
Southampton
0 : 3
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Southampton - Manchester United 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.50 / X 4.06 / 2 1.78
  • 1X2 market: Southampton 21.6% / X 23.9% / Manchester United 54.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 21.6%
X 23.9%
2 54.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 59.6%
Under 2.5 40.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 11:30 UTC
Match center

Southampton - Manchester United

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 4.06 market consensus · line only
1 4.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.24 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.50 22.2%
Х 4.06 24.6%
П2 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.24 80.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.14 46.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.63 61.4%
ТМ 2.5 2.40 41.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.41 29.3%
П2 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Manchester United
L
01.09 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 0:3 LiverpulLiverpul
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points