Match center
Start
21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
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21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Premier League
Sunderland - Aston Villa
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sunderland - Aston Villa September 21, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.53 / X 3.26 / 2 2.18
- 1X2 market: Sunderland 27.0% / X 29.2% / Aston Villa 43.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
27.0%
X
29.2%
2
43.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sunderland - Aston Villa
Form
4/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.18
market consensus · line only
X
3.27
market consensus · line only
1
3.54
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.31
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.71
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.29
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.08
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.94
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.82
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.68 27.2% | |
| X | 3.37 29.7% |
| 2.18 45.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.45 29.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.50 28.6% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 2.18 45.9% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.89 52.9% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
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Match center
Full head-to-head historySunderland - Aston Villa
Sunderland
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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