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Premier League England

14.03.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 15:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Sunderland - Brighton

England Football

Sunderland

0 : 1

Finished

Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Brighton March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.60 / X 3.37 / 2 2.15
1X2 market: Sunderland 26.7% / X 28.5% / Brighton 44.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%

1 26.7%

X 28.5%

2 44.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%

Over 2.5 45.4%

Under 2.5 54.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Sunderland - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.15 market consensus · line only

X 3.38 market consensus · line only

1 3.61 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.31 market consensus · line only

12 1.35 market consensus · line only

1X 1.73 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.19 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.92 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.66 27.3%
X	3.40 29.4%
	2.17 46.1%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	3.60 27.8%	3.68 27.2%	3.60 27.8%	3.62 27.6%	3.66 27.3%	3.66 27.3%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.48 28.7%	3.30 30.3%	3.42 29.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%
	2.14 46.7%	2.19 45.7%	2.10 47.6%	2.16 46.3%	2.17 46.1%	2.17 46.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.95 51.3%	1.89 52.9%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.98 50.5%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.86 53.8%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.89 52.9%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%
home_away	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.76 56.8%	1.76 56.8%	1.67 59.9%

Match center

Sunderland

W D L L L

03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:0 Leeds

28.02 12:30 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:1 Bournemouth

22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:3 Fulham

11.02 20:15 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:1 Liverpul

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:3 Arsenal

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Brighton

L W W L L

04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Arsenal

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:1 Nottingem Forest

21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:0 Brentford

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Aston Villa

08.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Kristal Pelas

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Brighton

Sunderland

1 matches total

Brighton

Sunderland: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Brighton: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (20.12 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.12 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Sunderland

0:0

Brighton