PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Premier League
Premier League England
28.12.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
28.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Leeds

England Football
Sunderland
Sunderland
1 : 1
Finished
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Leeds December 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.76 / X 3.13 / 2 2.75
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 34.7% / X 30.6% / Leeds 34.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 34.7%
X 30.6%
2 34.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 40.3%
Under 2.5 59.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 28.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Sunderland - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 2.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.84 35.2%
X 3.16 31.7%
2.79 35.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.72 36.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.84 35.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.72 36.8% 2.72 36.8% 2.84 35.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Sunderland
D W L D W
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 BrightonBrighton
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:2 BournemouthBournemouth
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Leeds
W D D W L
20.12 20:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 4:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
14.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
06.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:3 LiverpulLiverpul
03.12 20:15 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 ChelseaChelsea
29.11 15:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:3 Manchester CityManchester City
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Leeds

Sunderland
0 matches total
Leeds
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history