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Premier League
Premier League England
09.05.2026 14:00 UTC 36 round
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Manchester United

England Football
Stadium Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Sunderland
0 : 0
Finished
Manchester United
Manchester United

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Manchester United May 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester United.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.79 / X 3.66 / 2 1.95
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 25.2% / X 26.1% / Manchester United 48.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 25.1%
X 26.0%
2 48.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Stadium of Layt (Sanderlend, England), 47 233 zritelya (96% pri vmestimosti 49 000)
Referee Styuart Atvell (Nunaton, Uorikshir)
Start 09.05.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Sunderland - Manchester United

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Sanderlend - Manchester Yunayted, 9 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. APL 2025-2026 — Championship England po futbolu, 36 round. Sanderlend - Manchester Yunayted, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.44 market consensus · line only
X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 3.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.86 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.65 27.4% 3.94 25.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.81 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8%
1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.75 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.0 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.25 1.58 63.3%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Sunderland

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Manchester United

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Romeyn Mandl Travmirovannye Matteys Deniel Ballard CHAMP
Match center
Sunderland
D L L W W
02.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 WolvesWolves
24.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:5 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 3:4 Aston VillaAston Villa
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 TottenkhemTottenkhem
22.03 12:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
Manchester United
W W W L D
03.05 14:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 3:2 LiverpulLiverpul
27.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:1 BrentfordBrentford
18.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:0 ChelseaChelsea
13.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 1:2 LeedsLeeds
20.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester United 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Manchester United

Sunderland
1 matches total
Manchester United
Sunderland: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester United: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester United 0:2 (04.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 04.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland
0:2
Manchester United
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Sunderland
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Manchester United
Sunderland Team comparison Manchester United
35 Games 35
12 Wins 18
11 Draws 10
12 Losses 7
37 Scored 63
46 Conceded 48
47 Points 64
88.24 Attacks 98.59
43.94 Dangerous attacks 47.5
0 Big chances 0
10.03 Shots on goal 15.6
3.34 Shots on target 5.69
Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Sanderlend Manchester Yunayted 35 Games 35 12 Wins 18 11 Draws 10 12 Losses 7 37 Scored 63 46 Conceded 48 47 Points 64 88.24 Attacks 98.59 43.94 Dangerous attacks 47.5 0 Big chances 0 10.03 Shots on goal 15.6 3.34 Udary v stvor 5.69 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.54 Uglovye 4.69 1.4

Sanderlend Manchester Yunayted 35 Games 35 12 Wins 18 11 Draws 10 12 Losses 7 37 Scored 63 46 Conceded 48 47 Points 64 88.24 Attacks 98.59 43.94 Dangerous attacks 47.5 0 Big chances 0 10.03 Shots on goal 15.6 3.34 Udary v stvor 5.69 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.54 Uglovye 4.69 1.49 Offsaydy 1.49 10.63 Foly 10.29 44.63 % vladeniya myachom 52.14 2.23 Warnings 1.66 0.09 Sendoffs 0.09 Nakazaniya Meyson Maunt 54' Dzhoshua Zirkzee 58' Mateus Kunya 90+3'