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Premier League
Premier League England
12.04.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Sunderland - Tottenham

England Football
Stadium Stadium of Light
Capacity 49 000
Sunderland
Sunderland
1 : 0
Finished
Tottenham
Tottenham
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Tottenham — 41%

1 · Sunderland31.6%
X · draw27.1%
2 · Tottenham41.4%

Model estimate: win Sunderland 31.6%, draw 27.1%, win Tottenham 41.4%. Model favourite — Tottenham.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sunderland - Tottenham April 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.

Strongest: Tottenham - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.32 / 2 2.65
  • 1X2 market: Sunderland 35.3% / X 28.7% / Tottenham 36.0%
  • Glicko: Sunderland 31.6% / X 27.1% / Tottenham 41.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 40.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 35.3%
X 28.7%
2 36.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 27.8%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 12.04.2026 13:00 UTC
Stadium Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
Capacity 49,000

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tottenham 41%
💹 Market Tottenham 3599%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Sunderland - Tottenham

Sunderland: Win 2.70 Sunderland: Draw 3.20 Tottenham Win: 2.70 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.91 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Sunderland bolshe 1.5: 2.38 Individualnyy total golov Sunderland menshe 1.5: 1.53 Individualnyy total golov To…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 14
Statistics 24
Lineups 39
min Event Player Team
28' 28' Yellow Card | Cristian Romero Tottenham
33' 33' Yellow Card | Brian Brobbey Sunderland
37' 37' Yellow Card | Micky van de Ven Tottenham
61' 61' Normal Goal | Nordi Mukiele Joe Knight Sunderland
62' 62' Substitution 1 | Richarlison | assist/sub out: Mathys Tel M. Saliakas Tottenham
62' 62' Substitution 2 | Lucas Bergvall | assist/sub out: Pape Matar Sarr Tottenham
62' 62' Substitution 3 | Archie Gray | assist/sub out: João Palhinha Tottenham
70' 70' Substitution 4 | Cristian Romero | assist/sub out: Kevin Danso Tottenham
Metric Sunderland Tottenham SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.33 0.84 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 1 final
Shots off target 8 3 final
Shots on target 2 7 final
Udary vsego 13 11 final
Fouls soversheno 14 15 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 3 final
Offsides 0 0 final
Sunderland #9 Richarlison, #13 D. Udogie, #14 A. Gray, #15 Lucas Bergvall, #17 C. Romero, #19 D. Solanke, #22 C. Gallagher, #23 P. Porro, #31 A. Kinský, #37 Micky van de Ven, #39 R. Kolo Muani
Tottenham #9 Brian Brobbey, #11 C. Rigg, #13 L. O'Nien, #15 Omar Alderete, #17 Reinildo, #19 H. Diarra, #20 N. Mukiele, #22 Robin Roefs, #27 N. Sadiki, #28 E. Le Fée, #34 G. Xhaka
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Gray Sunderland football.player.assists 0
A. Gray Sunderland Edinoborstva vsego 3
A. Gray Sunderland Seyvy 0
A. Gray Sunderland football.player.minutes_played 61
A. Gray Sunderland Klyuchevye pasy 20
A. Gray Sunderland Reyting (staryy) 6.3
A. Gray Sunderland Otbory vsego 18
A. Kinský Sunderland football.player.assists 0
A. Kinský Sunderland Seyvy 1
A. Kinský Sunderland football.player.minutes_played 90
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sunderland 36.2% 31.6% market favourite
Draw 28.8% 27.1% draw risk
Tottenham 34.9% 41.4% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.13 : 1.34
Total 2.5 Over 40.8% - Under 59.2%
Model check - - Difference 0.06
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.06

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.6% / 27.1% / 41.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,514 / 1,434 Sunderland / Tottenham
RD 74 / 72 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.65 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 41.4%
X 3.32 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.70 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.6%
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.5%
12 1.31 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 73.0%
1X 1.48 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 58.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · no value · model 40.8%
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · value +15.4% · model 59.2%
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.62 38.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9%
2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — — 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% — —
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% —
Over 2.75 — 2.16 46.3% —
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8% — —
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0% — —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% — —
Under 1.5 3.45 29.0% — —
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% 2.03 49.3% —
Under 2.75 — 1.76 56.8% —
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2% — —
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1% — —
Match center
Sunderland
Founded 1879
Tottenham
Founded 1882
Match center
Sunderland
BT B. Traoré Knee Injury
DB D. Ballard Muscle Injury
Tottenham
BD B. Davies Ankle Injury
RB R. Bentancur Muscle Injury
Sunderland Founded: 1879
Tottenham Founded: 1882
Match center
Sunderland
W L W D L
22.03 12:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
14.03 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:1 BrightonBrighton
03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 LeedsLeeds
28.02 12:30 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 BournemouthBournemouth
22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:3 FulhamFulham
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Tottenham
L D L L L
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
15.03 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
05.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:3 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 FulhamFulham
22.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:4 ArsenalArsenal
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.6 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySunderland - Tottenham

Sunderland
1 matches total
Tottenham
Sunderland: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 04.01 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (04.01 15:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland
1:1
Tottenkhem
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.