Premier League
Premier League England
22.02.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Tottenham - Arsenal

England Futbol
Tottenham
Tottenham
1 : 4
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tottenham - Arsenal 22 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arsenal.

Line favourite market consensus: Arsenal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.16 / X 4.32 / 2 1.47
  • 1X2 market: Tottenham 13.3% / X 22.0% / Arsenal 64.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 13.3%
X 22.0%
2 64.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Tottenham - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 market consensus · line only
X 4.34 market consensus · line only
1 7.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.81 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 7.95 12.6%
Х 4.50 22.2%
П2 1.48 67.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 6.80 14.7% 7.10 14.1% 7.20 13.9% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.40 13.5%
Х 4.10 24.4% 4.60 21.7% 4.31 23.2% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2%
П2 1.47 68.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.68 59.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.18 45.9% 2.09 47.9% 1.85 54.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.63 38.0%
Match center
Tottenham
L L D D L
10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
07.02 12:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
01.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 Manchester CityManchester City
24.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 BurnleyBurnley
17.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 West HamWest Ham
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Arsenal
D D W W L
18.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:2 WolvesWolves
12.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 3:0 SunderlandSunderland
31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 4:0 LeedsLeeds
25.01 16:30 UTC Premier League
Arsenal 2:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Arsenal

Tottenham
2 matches total
Arsenal
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Arsenal 1:4 (23.11 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 23.11 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.11 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenkhem
1:4
Arsenal
15.09 13:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenkhem
0:1
Arsenal