Premier League England

18.04.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

18.04.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Tottenham - Brighton

England Futbol

Stadium Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Capacity 62 850

Tottenham

2 : 2

Finished

Brighton

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Brighton — 44%

1 · Tottenham29.6%

X · draw26.7%

2 · Brighton43.7%

Model estimate: win Tottenham 29.6%, draw 26.7%, win Brighton 43.7%. Model favourite — Brighton.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tottenham - Brighton 18 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Strongest: Brighton - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.97 / X 3.75 / 2 2.25
1X2 market: Tottenham 32.1% / X 25.4% / Brighton 42.4%
Glicko: Tottenham 29.6% / X 26.7% / Brighton 43.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 49.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 32.1%

X 25.4%

2 42.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 57.7%

Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П2

Main outcome П2

Agreement 3/4

Confidence 42.6%

Total ТМ 2.5

Score 0:1

Модели не полностью совпадают, поэтому прогноз нужно сверять с рынком и линией.

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Match center

Start 18.04.2026 16:30 UTC

Stadium Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Capacity 62,850

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Brighton 44%

💹 Market Brighton 4244%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Tottenham - Brighton

Tottenham: Победа 3.00 Tottenham: Ничья 3.90 Brighton Победа: 2.15 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 1.67 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 2.20 Индивидуальный тотал голов Tottenham больше 1.5: 2.25 Индивидуальный тотал голов Tottenham меньше 1.5: 1.57 Индивидуальный тотал голов Brighto…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 3 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:2

Events 18

Statistics 24

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

20' 20' Substitution 1 | Diego Gómez | assist/sub out: Kaoru Mitoma Brighton

34' 34' Yellow Card | Yves Bissouma Kuan-lai Chin Tottenham

37' 37' Yellow Card | Mats Wieffer Brighton

39' 39' Normal Goal | Pedro Porro | assist/sub out: Xavi Simons Tottenham

45+3' 45+3' Normal Goal | Kaoru Mitoma | assist/sub out: Pascal Groß Brighton

53' 53' Yellow Card | R. De Zerbi Tottenham

57' 57' Substitution 1 | Randal Kolo Muani | assist/sub out: Mathys Tel T. Kalistratov Tottenham

57' 57' Substitution 2 | Yves Bissouma | assist/sub out: Archie Gray Kuan-lai Chin Tottenham

Metric Tottenham Brighton SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.09 0.82 final

Заблокированные удары 3 3 final

Удары мимо 4 4 final

Удары в створ 6 3 final

Удары всего 13 10 final

Фолы совершено 14 14 final

Желтые карточки 3 1 final

Офсайды 2 0 final

Tottenham #4 K. Danso, #7 X. Simons, #8 Yves Bissouma, #13 D. Udogie, #19 D. Solanke, #22 C. Gallagher, #23 P. Porro, #30 R. Bentancur, #31 A. Kinský, #37 Micky van de Ven, #39 R. Kolo Muani

Brighton #1 Bart Verbruggen, #6 Jan Paul van Hecke, #11 Y. Minteh, #13 Jack Hinshelwood, #18 Danny Welbeck, #21 Olivier Boscagli, #24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu, #25 Diego Gómez, #26 Yasin Ayari, #27 Mats Wieffer, #30 Pascal Groß

Player Team Metric SStats

Bart Verbruggen Brighton football.player.assists 0

Bart Verbruggen Brighton Дриблинг попытки 1

Bart Verbruggen Brighton Единоборства выиграно 1

Bart Verbruggen Brighton Сейвы 2

Bart Verbruggen Brighton football.player.minutes_played 90

Bart Verbruggen Brighton Ключевые пасы 34

Bart Verbruggen Brighton Рейтинг 4

Bart Verbruggen Brighton Рейтинг (старый) 6.2

Bart Verbruggen Brighton Отборы всего 25

C. Kostoulas Brighton football.player.assists 0

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Tottenham 33.3% 29.6%

Draw 26.3% 26.7% draw risk

Brighton 40.4% 43.7% market and model agree

xG - 1.10 : 1.39

Total 2.5 Over 49.2% - Under 50.8%

Model check - - Difference 0.04

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 29.6% / 26.7% / 43.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,429 / 1,558 Tottenham / Brighton

RD 72 / 72 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.25 market consensus · no value · model 43.7%

X 3.75 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.97 market consensus · no value · model 29.6%

Double chance

X2 1.38 market consensus · no value · model 70.4%

12 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 73.3%

1X 1.66 market consensus · no value · model 56.3%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.22 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · no value · model 49.2%

Under 2.5 2.25 market consensus · value +14.3% · model 50.8%

Both teams to score

No 2.36 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	2.66 37.6%	2.66 37.6%	3.18 31.5%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%
Х	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.88 25.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.80 26.3%	3.80 26.3%
П2	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.26 44.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.38 42.0%	2.41 41.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.35 42.6%	2.38 42.0%	2.38 42.0%	2.36 42.4%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.58 63.3%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.45 69.0%	1.41 70.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.33 75.2%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.55 64.5%	1.72 58.1%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.04 96.2%	—	1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.0	—	—	1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.25	—	—	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.5	1.20 83.3%	—	1.17 85.5%
ТБ 1.75	—	—	1.22 82.0%
ТБ 2.0	—	—	1.27 78.7%
ТБ 2.5	1.65 60.6%	—	—
ТБ 2.75	—	1.90 52.6%	—
ТБ 3.5	2.65 37.7%	—	—
ТБ 4.5	4.75 21.1%	—	—
ТМ 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—	—
ТМ 1.5	4.33 23.1%	—	—
ТМ 2.5	2.20 45.5%	—	—
ТМ 2.75	—	2.00 50.0%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.48 67.6%	—	—
ТМ 4.5	1.18 84.8%	—	—

Match center

Tottenham

Founded 1882

Brighton

Founded 1901

Match center

Tottenham

L L D L L

12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 0:1 Sunderland

22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 0:3 Nottingem Forest

15.03 16:30 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:1 Liverpul

05.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:3 Kristal Pelas

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Tottenham 1:2 Fulham

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

0.6 Scored

2.0 Conceded

1 Points

Brighton

W W W L W

11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:0 Burnley

21.03 12:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:1 Liverpul

14.03 15:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:0 Sunderland

04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:1 Arsenal

01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:1 Nottingem Forest

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Brighton

Tottenham

3 matches total

Brighton

Tottenham: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (33.3%)

Brighton: 2 (66.7%)

Biggest win Brighton 1:4 (25.05 15:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 25.05 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (20.09 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.09 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Tottenkhem

2:2

Brighton

25.05 15:00 UTC

Premier League

Tottenkhem

1:4

Brighton

06.10 15:30 UTC

Premier League

Tottenkhem

2:3

Brighton

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.