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Premier League
Premier League England
01.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Tottenham - Chelsea

England Football
Tottenham
Tottenham
0 : 1
Finished
Chelsea
Chelsea

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tottenham - Chelsea November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.86 / X 3.51 / 2 2.47
  • 1X2 market: Tottenham 33.6% / X 27.4% / Chelsea 39.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 33.6%
X 27.4%
2 39.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 52.4%
Under 2.5 47.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Tottenham - Chelsea

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.47 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 2.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.96 33.8%
X 3.45 29.0%
2.50 40.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.84 35.2% 2.96 33.8% 2.96 33.8%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.62 27.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.45 29.0%
2.42 41.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.26 44.3% 2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.34 42.7% 2.15 46.5%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.60 62.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Tottenham
W L W D D
26.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 3:0 EvertonEverton
19.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
04.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:1 LeedsLeeds
27.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:1 WolvesWolves
20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 BrightonBrighton
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Chelsea
L W W L L
25.10 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 SunderlandSunderland
18.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 3:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
04.10 16:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:3 BrightonBrighton
20.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Chelsea 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Chelsea

Tottenham
1 matches total
Chelsea
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chelsea: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Chelsea 0:1 (03.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 03.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenkhem
0:1
Chelsea