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Premier League
Premier League England
05.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Tottenham - Crystal Palace

England Football
Tottenham
Tottenham
1 : 3
Finished
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tottenham - Crystal Palace March 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.

Line favourite market consensus: Tottenham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.48 / X 3.34 / 2 2.87
  • 1X2 market: Tottenham 38.4% / X 28.5% / Crystal Palace 33.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 38.4%
X 28.5%
2 33.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 51.0%
Under 2.5 49.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Tottenham - Crystal Palace

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.88 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 2.48 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.16 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.49 40.2%
X 3.45 29.0%
2.98 33.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5% 2.58 38.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.42 29.2% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
2.72 36.8% 2.90 34.5% 2.97 33.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.26 44.3%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Tottenham
L L L L D
01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 FulhamFulham
22.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:4 ArsenalArsenal
10.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 NyukaslNyukasl
07.02 12:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
01.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 Manchester CityManchester City
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
Crystal Palace
L W L W D
01.03 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:2 Manchester UnitedManchester United
22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 WolvesWolves
11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 2:3 BurnleyBurnley
08.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:0 BrightonBrighton
01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Crystal Palace 1:1 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Crystal Palace

Tottenham
3 matches total
Crystal Palace
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Crystal Palace: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Kristal Pelas 0:2 (11.05 13:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 11.05 13:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenkhem
1:0
Kristal Pelas
11.05 13:15 UTC Premier League
Tottenkhem
0:2
Kristal Pelas
27.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenkhem
0:1
Kristal Pelas