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Premier League
Premier League England
11.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Tottenham - Leeds

England Football
Stadium Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham
Tottenham
1 : 1
Finished
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tottenham - Leeds May 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.

Line favourite market consensus: Tottenham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.85 / 2 4.43
  • 1X2 market: Tottenham 53.7% / X 24.8% / Leeds 21.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 53.6%
X 24.8%
2 21.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.05.2026 19:00 UTC
Match center

Tottenham - Leeds

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.30 Fonbet · line only
X 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.81 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.03 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.88 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.53 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3% 3.90 25.6%
4.30 23.3% 4.62 21.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.75 1.29 77.5%
Over 2.0 1.36 73.5%
Over 2.25 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.70 27.0%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Tottenham
W W D L L
03.05 18:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:0 WolvesWolves
18.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 BrightonBrighton
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:1 SunderlandSunderland
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Leeds
W D W W D
01.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:1 BurnleyBurnley
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:2 BournemouthBournemouth
18.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 3:0 WolvesWolves
13.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 2:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
21.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:0 BrentfordBrentford
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Leeds

Tottenham
1 matches total
Leeds
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Leeds: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tottenkhem 2:1 (04.10 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 04.10 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.10 11:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenkhem
2:1
Leeds