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Premier League
Premier League England
04.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Tottenham - Sunderland

England Football
Tottenham
Tottenham
1 : 1
Finished
Sunderland
Sunderland

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tottenham - Sunderland January 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.

Line favourite market consensus: Tottenham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.53 / 2 4.51
  • 1X2 market: Tottenham 51.6% / X 27.1% / Sunderland 21.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 51.6%
X 27.2%
2 21.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 44.3%
Under 2.5 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Tottenham - Sunderland

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.52 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.23 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.87 53.5%
X 3.57 28.0%
4.67 21.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.72 21.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.91 52.4% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
Tottenham
D W L L W
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:0 BrentfordBrentford
28.12 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
20.12 17:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:0 BrentfordBrentford
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Sunderland
D D D W L
01.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 Manchester CityManchester City
28.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:1 LeedsLeeds
20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:0 BrightonBrighton
14.12 14:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 1:0 NyukaslNyukasl
06.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Sunderland 0:3 Manchester CityManchester City
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Sunderland

Tottenham
0 matches total
Sunderland
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history