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Premier League
Premier League England
25.04.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
25.04.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

West Ham - Everton

England Football
Stadium London Stadium
West Ham
West Ham
2 : 1
Finished
Everton
Everton
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Everton — 37%

1 · West Ham34.9%
X · draw27.8%
2 · Everton37.3%

Model estimate: win West Ham 34.9%, draw 27.8%, win Everton 37.3%. Model favourite — Everton.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction West Ham - Everton April 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like West Ham.

Line favourite market consensus: West Ham. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.33 / 2 2.94
  • 1X2 market: West Ham 39.4% / X 28.4% / Everton 32.2%
  • Glicko: West Ham 34.9% / X 27.8% / Everton 37.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 42.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 39.4%
X 28.4%
2 32.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 28.1%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 25.04.2026 14:00 UTC
Stadium London Stadium

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Everton 37%
💹 Market West Ham 3944%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

West Ham - Everton

West Ham: Win 2.40 West Ham: Draw 3.40 Everton Win: 2.90 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.91 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov West Ham bolshe 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov West Ham menshe 1.5: 1.62 Individualnyy total golov Everton bol…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 16
Statistics 24
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
38' 38' Yellow Card | Jake O'Brien Everton
47' 47' Yellow Card | James Tarkowski P. Katseris Everton
51' 51' Normal Goal | T. Souček | assist/sub out: J. Bowen M. Joseph West Ham
63' 63' Yellow Card | J. Garner Tyrick Mitchell Everton
65' 65' Substitution 1 | Jake O'Brien | assist/sub out: Tim Iroegbunam Everton
65' 65' Substitution 2 | Dwight McNeil | assist/sub out: Tyrique George Lukas Steindl Everton
70' 70' Yellow Card | V. Castellanos West Ham
79' 79' Substitution 2 | V. Castellanos | assist/sub out: F. Potts West Ham
Metric West Ham Everton SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.17 1.45 final
Zablokirovannye udary 3 5 final
Shots off target 4 3 final
Shots on target 3 3 final
Udary vsego 10 11 final
Fouls soversheno 9 11 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 4 final
Offsides 1 2 final
West Ham #1 J. Pickford, #5 Michael Keane, #6 James Tarkowski, #7 Dwight McNeil, #10 I. Ndiaye, #11 Thierno Barry, #15 J. O'Brien, #16 V. Mykolenko, #22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, #27 I. Gueye, #37 J. Garner
Everton #1 M. Hermansen, #2 K. Walker-Peters, #4 Axel Disasi, #7 Crysencio Summerville, #11 V. Castellanos, #12 M. Diouf, #15 K. Mavropanos, #18 Mateus Fernandes, #19 Pablo Felipe, #20 J. Bowen, #28 T. Soucek
Player Team Metric SStats
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham football.player.assists 0
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham Edinoborstva vyigrano 1
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham Seyvy 0
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham football.player.minutes_played 14
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham Klyuchevye pasy 9
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham Reyting (staryy) 6.3
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham Otbory vsego 9
Carlos Alcaraz West Ham Yellow cards 1
Dwight McNeil West Ham football.player.assists 0
Dwight McNeil West Ham Dribling popytki 4
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
West Ham 39.4% 34.9% market favourite
Draw 28.7% 27.8% draw risk
Everton 31.9% 37.3% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.17 : 1.22
Total 2.5 Over 42.4% - Under 57.6%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.9% / 27.8% / 37.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,467 / 1,533 West Ham / Everton
RD 73 / 71 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.94 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 37.3%
X 3.33 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 34.9%
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 65.1%
12 1.31 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 72.2%
1X 1.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 62.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · no value · model 42.4%
Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · value +10.6% · model 57.6%
Both teams to score
No 2.14 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.34 42.7% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
2.94 34.0% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 — 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.75 — 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.0 — 1.41 70.9%
Over 2.25 — 1.64 61.0%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% —
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3% —
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4% —
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1% —
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2% —
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 3.5 1.35 74.1% —
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3% —
Match center
West Ham
Founded 1895
Everton
Founded 1878
Match center
West Ham
D W L D W
20.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
10.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 4:0 WolvesWolves
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
14.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:0 FulhamFulham
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Everton
L D W L W
19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 1:2 LiverpulLiverpul
11.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
21.03 17:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 3:0 ChelseaChelsea
14.03 17:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
03.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
Everton 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWest Ham - Everton

West Ham
1 matches total
Everton
West Ham: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Everton: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 29.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (29.09 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham
1:1
Everton
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.