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Premier League
Premier League England
14.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

West Ham - Manchester City

England Football
West Ham
West Ham
1 : 1
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction West Ham - Manchester City March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.75 / X 4.24 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: West Ham 20.3% / X 22.7% / Manchester City 57.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%
1 20.2%
X 22.6%
2 57.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 59.8%
Under 2.5 40.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

West Ham - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 4.24 market consensus · line only
1 4.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.12 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.93 20.3%
X 4.22 23.7%
1.68 59.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
4.75 21.1% 4.87 20.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.93 20.3% 4.93 20.3%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.36 22.9% 4.33 23.1% 4.25 23.5% 4.22 23.7% 4.22 23.7%
1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.29 43.7% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.63 61.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.25 44.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7% 2.29 43.7% 2.15 46.5%
Match center
West Ham
W L D D W
04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:0 FulhamFulham
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 2:5 LiverpulLiverpul
21.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:0 BournemouthBournemouth
10.02 20:15 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 Manchester UnitedManchester United
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 2:0 BurnleyBurnley
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Manchester City
D W W W W
04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
28.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 LeedsLeeds
21.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 NyukaslNyukasl
11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:0 FulhamFulham
08.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWest Ham - Manchester City

West Ham
1 matches total
Manchester City
West Ham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester City: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester City 0:3 (20.12 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 20.12 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham
0:3
Manchester City