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Premier League
Premier League England
10.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

West Ham - Wolves

England Football
Stadium London Stadium
Capacity 62 500
West Ham
West Ham
4 : 0
Finished
Wolves
Wolves
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 West Ham51%

1 · West Ham50.7%
X · draw25.9%
2 · Wolves23.4%

Model estimate: win West Ham 50.7%, draw 25.9%, win Wolves 23.4%. Model favourite — West Ham.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction West Ham - Wolves April 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like West Ham.

Strongest: West Ham - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.81 / X 3.76 / 2 4.36
  • 1X2 market: West Ham 52.7% / X 25.4% / Wolves 21.9%
  • Glicko: West Ham 50.7% / X 25.9% / Wolves 23.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 41.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 52.7%
X 25.4%
2 21.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 52.1%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 10.04.2026 19:00 UTC
Stadium London Stadium
Capacity 62,500

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model West Ham 51%
💹 Market West Ham 5272%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

West Ham - Wolves

West Ham: Win 1.80 West Ham: Draw 3.80 Wolves Win: 4.33 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.80 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total golov West Ham bolshe 1.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov West Ham menshe 1.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Wolves bolshe…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:0
Events 17
Statistics 24
Lineups 39
min Event Player Team
9' 9' Yellow Card | J. Bellegarde Nikola Keremedchiev Wolves
20' 20' Yellow Card | Y. Mosquera Wolves
31' 31' Yellow Card | M. Fernandes West Ham
42' 42' Normal Goal | K. Mavropanos Dani Pérez West Ham
52' 52' Yellow Card | T. Castellanos West Ham
61' 61' Substitution 2 | A. Gomes | assist/sub out: R. Gomes Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Wolves
61' 61' Substitution 3 | J. Bellegarde | assist/sub out: M. Mane Nikola Keremedchiev Wolves
66' 66' Normal Goal | T. Castellanos | assist/sub out: Pablo West Ham
Metric West Ham Wolves SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.35 0.59 final
Zablokirovannye udary 4 3 final
Shots off target 7 8 final
Shots on target 7 3 final
Udary vsego 18 14 final
Fouls soversheno 11 7 final
Zheltye kartochki 2 2 final
Offsides 0 1 final
West Ham #1 J. Sa, #3 Hugo Bueno, #4 S. Bueno, #7 André, #8 João Gomes, #9 Adam Armstrong, #15 Y. Mosquera, #27 J. Bellegarde, #37 L. Krejci, #38 J. Tchatchoua, #47 A. Gomes
Wolves #1 M. Hermansen, #2 K. Walker-Peters, #4 Axel Disasi, #7 Crysencio Summerville, #11 V. Castellanos, #12 M. Diouf, #15 K. Mavropanos, #18 Mateus Fernandes, #19 Pablo Felipe, #20 J. Bowen, #28 T. Soucek
Player Team Metric SStats
Tom Edozie football.player.assists 0
Tom Edozie Dribling popytki 1
Tom Edozie Dribling uspeshno 1
Tom Edozie Edinoborstva vyigrano 2
Tom Edozie Fouls na igroke 1
Tom Edozie Seyvy 0
Tom Edozie football.player.minutes_played 10
Tom Edozie Klyuchevye pasy 4
Tom Edozie Reyting (staryy) 6.7
Tom Edozie Shots on target 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
West Ham 53.2% 50.7% market and model agree
Draw 25.2% 25.9% draw risk
Wolves 21.6% 23.4%
xG - 1.52 : 0.94
Total 2.5 Over 41.9% - Under 58.1%
Model check - - Difference 0.02
Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.7% / 25.9% / 23.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,453 / 1,401 West Ham / Wolves
RD 74 / 80 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.36 market consensus · no value · model 23.4%
X 3.76 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 50.7%
Double chance
X2 1.99 market consensus · no value · model 49.3%
12 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 74.1%
1X 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 76.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · value +17.4% · model 58.1%
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.81 55.3% 1.79 55.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0%
4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.58 21.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 2.75 2.03 49.3%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.50 18.2%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
Under 2.75 1.87 53.5%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.14 87.7%
Match center
West Ham
Founded 1895
Wolves
Founded 1877
Match center
West Ham
JT J. Todibo Calf Injury
AA A. Areola Calf Injury
Wolves
SJ S. Johnstone Knock
LC L. Chiwome Knee Injury
West Ham Founded: 1895
Wolves Founded: 1877
Match center
West Ham
L D W L D
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
14.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:1 Manchester CityManchester City
04.03 19:30 UTC Premier League
West Ham 1:0 FulhamFulham
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham 2:5 LiverpulLiverpul
21.02 17:30 UTC Premier League
West Ham 0:0 BournemouthBournemouth
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Wolves
D W W L D
16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
03.03 20:15 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
27.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
18.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:2 ArsenalArsenal
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWest Ham - Wolves

West Ham
2 matches total
Wolves
West Ham: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Wolves: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Wolves 0:3 (03.01 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 03.01 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.01 15:00 UTC Premier League
West Ham
0:3
Wolves
01.04 18:45 UTC Premier League
West Ham
0:1
Wolves
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.