Premier League England

27.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

27.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Wolves - Aston Villa

England Futbol

Wolves

2 : 0

Finished

Aston Villa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Aston Villa 27 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.31 / X 3.76 / 2 1.82
1X2 market: Wolves 22.2% / X 25.4% / Aston Villa 52.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 22.2%

X 25.4%

2 52.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%

Over 2.5 52.5%

Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 27.02.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Wolves - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.82 market consensus · line only

X 3.77 market consensus · line only

1 4.32 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.22 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 2.01 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.48 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.05 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	4.42 22.6%
Х	3.87 25.8%
П2	1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	4.10 24.4%	4.30 23.3%	4.46 22.4%	4.00 25.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.35 23.0%
Х	3.70 27.0%	3.70 27.0%	3.96 25.3%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%	3.90 25.6%
П2	1.81 55.3%	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.13 47.0%	1.99 50.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.08 48.1%	2.13 47.0%
yes	1.73 57.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.95 51.3%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%

Match center

Wolves

L D D L L

22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:1 Kristal Pelas

18.02 20:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 2:2 Arsenal

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:0 Nottingem Forest

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 1:3 Chelsea

31.01 15:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:2 Bournemouth

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

2 Points

Aston Villa

D W D L W

21.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:1 Leeds

11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:0 Brighton

07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 1:1 Bournemouth

01.02 14:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 0:1 Brentford

25.01 14:00 UTC Premier League

Aston Villa 2:0 Nyukasl

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.6 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Aston Villa

Wolves

2 matches total

Aston Villa

Wolves: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Aston Villa: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Aston Villa 1:3 (21.09 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 21.09 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

30.11 14:05 UTC

Premier League

Wolves

0:1

Aston Villa

21.09 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Wolves

1:3

Aston Villa