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Premier League England

05.10.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

05.10.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Wolves - Brighton

England Football

Wolves

1 : 1

Finished

Brighton

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Brighton October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brighton.

Line favourite market consensus: Brighton. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.49 / X 3.44 / 2 2.12
1X2 market: Wolves 27.4% / X 27.7% / Brighton 44.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 27.3%

X 27.7%

2 45.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 49.2%

Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 05.10.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Wolves - Brighton

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.13 market consensus · line only

X 3.45 market consensus · line only

1 3.49 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.31 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.74 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.10 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.01 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.50 28.6%
X	3.51 28.5%
	2.19 45.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.40 29.4%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.70 27.0%	3.58 27.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%
	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%	2.19 45.7%	2.05 48.8%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.95 51.3%	2.14 46.7%	1.98 50.5%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.07 48.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	2.09 47.9%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.74 57.5%	1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.70 58.8%	1.76 56.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.77 56.5%

Match center

Wolves

D L L L L

27.09 19:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 1:1 Tottenkhem

20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 1:3 Leeds

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:1 Nyukasl

30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 2:3 Everton

23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:1 Bournemouth

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

1 Points

Brighton

W D L W L

27.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 3:1 Chelsea

20.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:2 Tottenkhem

13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 1:2 Bournemouth

31.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 2:1 Manchester City

24.08 13:00 UTC Premier League

Brighton 0:2 Everton

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Brighton

Wolves

2 matches total

Brighton

Wolves: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Brighton: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Brighton 0:2 (10.05 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 26.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (26.10 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

10.05 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Wolves

0:2

Brighton

26.10 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Wolves

2:2

Brighton