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Premier League
Premier League England
20.09.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
20.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Wolves - Leeds

England Football
Wolves
Wolves
1 : 3
Finished
Leeds
Leeds

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Leeds September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leeds.

Line favourite market consensus: Leeds. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 3.11 / 2 2.62
  • 1X2 market: Wolves 32.1% / X 31.0% / Leeds 36.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 32.2%
X 31.0%
2 36.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 41.5%
Under 2.5 58.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.09.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Wolves - Leeds

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.11 market consensus · line only
1 3.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.58 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.11 32.2%
X 3.10 32.3%
2.61 38.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 2.96 33.8% 3.11 32.2% 3.11 32.2% 2.80 35.7%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.12 32.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.56 39.1% 2.67 37.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.61 38.3% 2.61 38.3% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.54 64.9% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Wolves
L L L L D
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 NyukaslNyukasl
30.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:3 EvertonEverton
23.08 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 BournemouthBournemouth
16.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:4 Manchester CityManchester City
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Leeds
L D L W
13.09 14:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:1 FulhamFulham
30.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:0 NyukaslNyukasl
23.08 16:30 UTC Premier League
Leeds 0:5 ArsenalArsenal
18.08 19:00 UTC Premier League
Leeds 1:0 EvertonEverton
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.3 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Leeds

Wolves
0 matches total
Leeds
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history