Premier League
Premier League England
03.03.2026 20:15 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Wolves - Liverpool

England Futbol
Wolves
Wolves
2 : 1
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Liverpool 3 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.96 / X 4.77 / 2 1.43
  • 1X2 market: Wolves 13.7% / X 19.9% / Liverpool 66.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 13.6%
X 19.9%
2 66.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 59.2%
Under 2.5 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.03.2026 20:15 UTC
Match center

Wolves - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.43 market consensus · line only
X 4.78 market consensus · line only
1 6.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 2.81 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 7.45 13.4%
Х 4.90 20.4%
П2 1.45 69.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 6.00 16.7% 7.10 14.1% 7.37 13.6% 6.50 15.4% 6.25 16.0% 7.50 13.3%
Х 4.65 21.5% 4.85 20.6% 5.07 19.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
П2 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 2.65 37.7% 2.91 34.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.80 35.7%
Match center
Wolves
W L D D L
27.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
18.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:2 ArsenalArsenal
11.02 19:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
07.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:3 ChelseaChelsea
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Liverpool
W W W L W
28.02 15:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 5:2 West HamWest Ham
22.02 14:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:0 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
11.02 20:15 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:0 SunderlandSunderland
08.02 16:30 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 1:2 Manchester CityManchester City
31.01 20:00 UTC Premier League
Liverpool 4:1 NyukaslNyukasl
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Liverpool

Wolves
2 matches total
Liverpool
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Liverpool: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Liverpul 1:2 (27.12 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 27.12 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

27.12 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
1:2
Liverpul
28.09 16:30 UTC Premier League
Wolves
1:2
Liverpul