Premier League
Premier League England
16.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Wolves - Manchester City

England Futbol
Wolves
Wolves
0 : 4
Finished
Manchester City
Manchester City

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Manchester City 16 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite Fonbet: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.10 / X 4.50 / 2 1.54
  • 1X2 market: Wolves 15.8% / X 21.5% / Manchester City 62.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 15.8%
X 21.5%
2 62.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 58.2%
Under 2.5 41.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 16.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Wolves - Manchester City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.54 Fonbet · line only
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.13 Fonbet · line only
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 6.45 15.5%
Х 4.30 23.3%
П2 1.56 64.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.42 15.6% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4%
Х 4.20 23.8% 4.45 22.5% 4.54 22.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.25 23.5%
П2 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.40 41.7% 2.62 38.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7%
Match center
Wolves
D L L L W
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 1:1 BrentfordBrentford
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:4 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:2 BrightonBrighton
02.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:1 Manchester CityManchester City
26.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 3:0 Leicester
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Manchester City
W W D W W
25.05 15:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:0 FulhamFulham
20.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 3:1 BournemouthBournemouth
10.05 14:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 0:0 SouthamptonSouthampton
02.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 1:0 WolvesWolves
22.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Manchester City 2:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Manchester City

Wolves
2 matches total
Manchester City
Wolves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Manchester City: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Manchester City 0:1 (02.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 20.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

02.05 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
0:1
Manchester City
20.10 13:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
1:2
Manchester City