Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Premier League England

02.05.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

02.05.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Premier League

Wolves - Sunderland

England Football

Stadium Molineux Stadium

Referee P. Tierney

Capacity 32 050

Wolves

1 : 1

Finished

Sunderland

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sunderland — 47%

1 · Wolves25.5%

X · draw27.2%

2 · Sunderland47.4%

Model estimate: win Wolves 25.5%, draw 27.2%, win Sunderland 47.4%. Model favourite — Sunderland.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Sunderland May 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sunderland.

Strongest: Sunderland - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.68 / X 3.49 / 2 2.02
1X2 market: Wolves 25.8% / X 27.2% / Sunderland 47.0%
Glicko: Wolves 25.5% / X 27.2% / Sunderland 47.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 32.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 25.8%

X 27.2%

2 47.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 48.0%

Under 2.5 52.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 46.6%

Total Under 2.5

Score 0:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 02.05.2026 14:00 UTC

Stadium Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee P. Tierney

Capacity 32,050

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ????? ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Sunderland 47%

💹 Market Sunderland 4702%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Wolves - Sunderland

Wolves: Win 3.60 Wolves: Draw 3.60 Sunderland Win: 2.00 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.91 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.91 Individualnyy total golov Wolves bolshe 0.5: 1.44 Individualnyy total golov Wolves menshe 0.5: 2.62 Individualnyy total golov Sunderland bolshe…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 13

Statistics 26

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

17' 17' Normal Goal | N. Mukiele | assist/sub out: G. Xhaka N. Mukiele Sunderland

24' 24' Red Card | D. Ballard D. Ballard Sunderland

45+2' 45+2' Yellow Card | B. Brobbey Brian Brobbey Sunderland

46' 46' Substitution 1 | Pedro Lima | assist/sub out: Rodrigo Gomes Pedro Lima Wolves

54' 54' Normal Goal | S. Bueno | assist/sub out: Hugo Bueno S. Bueno Wolves

56' 56' Yellow Card | G. Xhaka G. Xhaka Sunderland

72' 72' Substitution 1 | N. Sadiki | assist/sub out: H. Diarra N. Sadiki Sunderland

72' 72' Substitution 2 | Reinildo | assist/sub out: D. Cirkin Reinildo Sunderland

Metric Wolves Sunderland SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.72 0.66 final

Zablokirovannye udary 5 5 final

Shots off target 8 3 final

Shots on target 7 2 final

Udary vsego 20 10 final

Fouls soversheno 11 11 final

Red cards 0 1 final

Zheltye kartochki 0 4 final

Wolves #3 Hugo Bueno, #9 Adam Armstrong, #14 T. Arokodare, #24 Toti Gomes, #25 D. Bentley, #4 S. Bueno, #8 João Gomes, #36 M. Mane, #7 André, #15 Y. Mosquera, #17 Pedro Lima

Sunderland #7 C. Talbi, #9 Brian Brobbey, #17 Reinildo, #22 Robin Roefs, #27 N. Sadiki, #15 Omar Alderete, #28 E. Le Fée, #34 G. Xhaka, #5 D. Ballard, #32 T. Hume, #20 N. Mukiele

Player Team Metric SStats

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Dribling popytki 7

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Edinoborstva vyigrano 12

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Fouls soversheno 3

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Seyvy 0

Brian Brobbey Sunderland football.player.minutes_played 72

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Tochnost pasov % 1

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Klyuchevye pasy 12

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Reyting (staryy) 6.9

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Otbory vsego 9

Brian Brobbey Sunderland Yellow cards 3

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Wolves 26.5% 25.5%

Draw 27.8% 27.2% draw risk

Sunderland 45.8% 47.4% market and model agree

xG - 0.95 : 1.40

Total 2.5 Over 32.2% - Under 67.8%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 25.5% / 27.2% / 47.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,370 / 1,496 Wolves / Sunderland

RD 76 / 72 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.02 market consensus · no value · model 47.4%

X 3.49 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.68 market consensus · no value · model 25.5%

Double chance

X2 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%

12 1.29 market consensus · no value · model 72.9%

1X 1.79 market consensus · no value · model 52.6%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.87 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · no value · model 32.2%

Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · value +24.0% · model 67.8%

Both teams to score

No 1.95 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	3.75 26.7%	3.86 25.9%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.68 27.2%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%
	1.96 51.0%	2.06 48.5%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.95 51.3%	1.92 52.1%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	2.00 50.0%	1.93 51.8%	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%
yes	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.22 82.0%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.73 57.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.06 94.3%	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25	—	1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5	1.33 75.2%	1.29 77.5%
Over 1.75	—	1.38 72.5%
Over 2.0	—	1.49 67.1%
Over 2.25	—	1.82 55.0%
Over 2.5	1.95 51.3%	—
Over 3.5	3.45 29.0%	—
Over 4.5	6.50 15.4%	—
Under 0.5	8.50 11.8%	—
Under 1.5	3.30 30.3%	—
Under 2.5	1.83 54.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.30 76.9%	—
Under 4.5	1.10 90.9%	—

Match center

Wolves

Founded 1877

Sunderland

Founded 1879

Match center

Wolves

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Sunderland

AA A. Alese Shoulder injury

Wolves Founded: 1877

Sunderland Founded: 1879

Match center

Wolves

L L L D W

25.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:1 Tottenkhem

18.04 14:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:3 Leeds

10.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 0:4 West Ham

16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League

Wolves 2:2 Brentford

03.03 20:15 UTC Premier League

Wolves 2:1 Liverpul

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.2 Conceded

4 Points

Sunderland

L L W W L

24.04 19:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:5 Nottingem Forest

19.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 3:4 Aston Villa

12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 1:0 Tottenkhem

22.03 12:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 2:1 Nyukasl

14.03 15:00 UTC Premier League

Sunderland 0:1 Brighton

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.2 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Sunderland

Wolves

1 matches total

Sunderland

Wolves: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Sunderland: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Sunderland 0:2 (18.10 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 18.10 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

18.10 14:00 UTC

Premier League

Wolves

0:2

Sunderland

Match center

? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.