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Premier League
Premier League England
25.04.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Premier League

England

Wolves - Tottenham

England Football
Stadium Molinyu
Wolves
Wolves
0 : 1
Finished
Tottenham
Tottenham
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Tottenham55%

1 · Wolves20.5%
X · draw24.9%
2 · Tottenham54.7%

Model estimate: win Wolves 20.5%, draw 24.9%, win Tottenham 54.7%. Model favourite — Tottenham.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Wolves - Tottenham April 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.

Strongest: Tottenham - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.35 / X 4.05 / 2 1.73
  • 1X2 market: Wolves 21.8% / X 23.5% / Tottenham 54.7%
  • Glicko: Wolves 20.5% / X 24.9% / Tottenham 54.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 38.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 21.8%
X 23.4%
2 54.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 55.6%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 25.04.2026 14:00 UTC
Stadium Molinyu (Vulverkhempton)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Tottenham 55%
💹 Market Tottenham 5472%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Wolves - Tottenham

Wolves: Win 4.33 Wolves: Draw 4.33 Tottenham Win: 1.70 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.73 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Wolves bolshe 0.5: 1.44 Individualnyy total golov Wolves menshe 0.5: 2.62 Individualnyy total golov Tottenham bolshe 1…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 24
Lineups 38
Metric Wolves Tottenham SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.62 1.05 final
Zablokirovannye udary 4 2 final
Shots off target 5 7 final
Shots on target 2 2 final
Udary vsego 11 11 final
Fouls soversheno 8 14 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 4 final
Offsides 1 2 final
Wolves #1 J. Sa, #2 M. Doherty, #3 Hugo Bueno, #4 S. Bueno, #7 André, #8 João Gomes, #9 Adam Armstrong, #17 Pedro Lima, #21 Rodrigo Gomes, #24 Toti Gomes, #36 M. Mane
Tottenham #4 K. Danso, #7 X. Simons, #8 Yves Bissouma, #19 D. Solanke, #22 C. Gallagher, #23 P. Porro, #24 D. Spence, #30 R. Bentancur, #31 A. Kinský, #37 Micky van de Ven, #39 R. Kolo Muani
Player Team Metric SStats
Tom Edozie Seyvy 0
A. Gray Tottenham Seyvy 0
A. Kinský Tottenham football.player.assists 0
A. Kinský Tottenham Seyvy 0
A. Kinský Tottenham football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Kinský Tottenham Klyuchevye pasy 30
A. Kinský Tottenham Reyting 2
A. Kinský Tottenham Reyting (staryy) 7.9
A. Kinský Tottenham Otbory vsego 23
B. Austin Tottenham Seyvy 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Wolves 21.5% 20.5%
Draw 22.2% 24.9% draw risk
Tottenham 56.3% 54.7% market and model agree
xG - 0.88 : 1.62
Total 2.5 Over 38.6% - Under 61.4%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 20.5% / 24.9% / 54.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,379 / 1,433 Wolves / Tottenham
RD 78 / 71 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.73 market consensus · no value · model 54.7%
X 4.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.35 market consensus · no value · model 20.5%
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 79.5%
12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 75.2%
1X 2.08 market consensus · no value · model 45.3%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.74 market consensus · no value · model 38.6%
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · value +29.6% · model 61.4%
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
4.55 22.0% 4.46 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.50 22.2%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.46 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.05 24.7% 4.00 25.0%
1.69 59.2% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.75 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.0 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.25 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Wolves
Founded 1877
Tottenham
Founded 1882
Match center
Wolves
L L D W W
18.04 14:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:3 LeedsLeeds
10.04 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 0:4 West HamWest Ham
16.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:2 BrentfordBrentford
03.03 20:15 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:1 LiverpulLiverpul
27.02 20:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves 2:0 Aston VillaAston Villa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Tottenham
D L L D L
18.04 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 2:2 BrightonBrighton
12.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:1 SunderlandSunderland
22.03 14:15 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 0:3 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
15.03 16:30 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:1 LiverpulLiverpul
05.03 20:00 UTC Premier League
Tottenham 1:3 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyWolves - Tottenham

Wolves
2 matches total
Tottenham
Wolves: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Tottenham: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Wolves 4:2 (13.04 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (4:2, 13.04 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.09 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 5

Match history

27.09 19:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
1:1
Tottenkhem
13.04 13:00 UTC Premier League
Wolves
4:2
Tottenkhem
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.