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Premier League
Premier League Russia
04.04.2026 12:15 UTC
Finished

Premier League

Russia

Zenit - Krylia Sovetov

Russia Football
Zenit
Zenit
2 : 1
Finished
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zenit - Krylia Sovetov April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zenit.

Line favourite market consensus: Zenit. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 6.46 / 2 13.39
  • 1X2 market: Zenit 78.0% / X 14.8% / Krylia Sovetov 7.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 78.1%
X 14.8%
2 7.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 12:15 UTC
Match center

Zenit - Krylia Sovetov

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.46 market consensus · line only
1 1.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.36 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.33 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet Pinnacle
1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.21 82.6%
X 6.00 16.7% 6.77 14.8% 6.65 15.0% 6.42 15.6%
12.00 8.3% 14.50 6.9% 14.25 7.0% 12.80 7.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Marathonbet
no 1.55 64.5% 1.56 64.1% 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.42 41.3% 2.29 43.7% 2.29 43.7%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet
draw_away 4.40 22.7% 4.55 22.0%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.75 1.23 81.3%
Over 2.0 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.25 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 2.75 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.0 2.02 49.5%
Over 3.25 2.26 44.3%
Over 3.5 2.50 40.0%
Over 3.75 2.93 34.1%
Over 4.0 3.68 27.2%
Over 4.25 4.02 24.9%
Over 4.5 4.30 23.3%
Under 2.75 2.06 48.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZenit - Krylia Sovetov

Zenit
0 matches total
Krylia Sovetov
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history