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Premiership
Premiership England
05.04.2026 15:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 15:30 UTC
Finished

Premiership

England

Dundee - Celtic

England Football
Stadium Dens Park
Dundee
Dundee
1 : 2
Finished
Celtic
Celtic
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Celtic — 67%

1 · Dundee13.4%
market16%
X · draw20.0%
market21%
2 · Celtic ✓ Pick66.6%
market63%

Model estimate: win Dundee 13.4%, draw 20.0%, win Celtic 66.6%. Model favourite — Celtic.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dundee - Celtic April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celtic.

Strongest: Celtic - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.63 / X 4.48 / 2 1.48
  • 1X2 market: Dundee 16.5% / X 20.7% / Celtic 62.7%
  • Glicko: Dundee 13.4% / X 20.0% / Celtic 66.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 84.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 16.5%
X 20.7%
2 ✓ Pick 62.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%
Over 2.5 64.0%
Under 2.5 36.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 65.6%
Total Over 2.5
Score 1:2

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 15:30 UTC
Stadium Dens Park (Dandi)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Celtic 67%
💹 Market Celtic 6274%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dundee - Celtic

Dundee: Win 5.75 Dundee: Draw 4.50 Celtic Win: 1.50 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.20 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Dundee bolshe 0.5: 1.44 Individualnyy total golov Dundee menshe 0.5: 2.62 Individualnyy total golov Celtic bolshe 2.5: 2.…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 26
Lineups 17
Metric Dundee Celtic SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.42 3.8 final
Zablokirovannye udary 2 2 final
Shots off target 3 7 final
Shots on target 3 8 final
Udary vsego 8 17 final
Fouls soversheno 7 13 final
Red cards 1 0 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 2 final
Dundee #5 L. Scales, #6 A. Trusty, #8 Benjamin Nygren, #12 V. Sinisalo, #13 Yang Hyun-Jun, #38 Daizen Maeda, #42 C. McGregor, #51 Colby Donovan, #63 Kieran Tierney
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Trusty Dundee football.player.assists 0
A. Trusty Dundee Dribling popytki 4
A. Trusty Dundee Edinoborstva vyigrano 4
A. Trusty Dundee Seyvy 0
A. Trusty Dundee football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Trusty Dundee Tochnost pasov % 1
A. Trusty Dundee Klyuchevye pasy 83
A. Trusty Dundee Reyting (staryy) 7.2
A. Trusty Dundee Otbory vsego 73
Benjamin Arthur Dundee Seyvy 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dundee 15.0% 13.4%
Draw 20.4% 20.0% draw risk
Celtic 64.6% 66.6% market and model agree
xG - 0.79 : 2.04
Total 2.5 Over 84.8% - Under 15.3%
Model check - - Difference 0.02
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 13.4% / 20.0% / 66.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,461 / 1,632 Dundee / Celtic
RD 75 / 77 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.48 market consensus · no value · model 66.6%
X 4.48 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.63 market consensus · no value · model 13.4%
Double chance
X2 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 86.6%
12 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 80.0%
1X 2.52 market consensus · no value · model 33.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.46 market consensus · value +23.7% · model 84.8%
Under 2.5 2.59 market consensus · no value · model 15.3%
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.40 18.5% 5.10 19.6% 5.41 18.5% 6.50 15.4% 5.75 17.4% 6.10 16.4%
X 4.65 21.5% 4.55 22.0% 4.55 22.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1% 4.60 21.7%
1.49 67.1% 1.46 68.5% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.30 43.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano BetVictor
draw_away 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 2.55 39.2% 2.47 40.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.67 37.5% 2.55 39.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5% — 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.75 — — 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.0 — — 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.25 — — 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0% — 1.42 70.4%
Over 3.25 — 1.97 50.8% —
Over 3.5 2.15 46.5% — —
Over 4.5 3.65 27.4% — —
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4% — —
Under 1.5 5.25 19.1% — —
Under 2.5 2.60 38.5% — —
Under 3.25 — 1.85 54.1% —
Under 3.5 1.65 60.6% — —
Under 4.5 1.25 80.0% — —
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7% — —
Match center
Dundee
Founded 1893
Celtic
Founded 1888
Match center

Full head-to-head historyDundee - Celtic

Dundee
0 matches total
Celtic
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.