Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Primera División - Apertura
Primera División - Apertura Uruguay
03.04.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Primera División - Apertura

Uruguay

Boston River - Wanderers

Uruguay Football
Boston River
Boston River
4 : 1
Finished
Wanderers
Wanderers

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Boston River - Wanderers April 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boston River.

Line favourite market consensus: Boston River. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.54 / X 3.03 / 2 2.75
  • 1X2 market: Boston River 36.2% / X 30.4% / Wanderers 33.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 36.2%
X 30.4%
2 33.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5 39.2%
Under 2.5 60.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 03.04.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Boston River - Wanderers

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.03 market consensus · line only
1 2.54 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
2.58 38.8% 2.66 37.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.45 40.8% 2.56 39.1%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.11 32.2% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.72 36.8% 2.69 37.2% 2.90 34.5% 2.87 34.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.59 38.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8% 1.78 56.2% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.43 69.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.09 91.7% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.0 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.25 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.5 1.45 69.0% 1.42 70.4%
Over 1.75 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.0 1.77 56.5%
Over 2.25 2.07 48.3%
Over 2.5 2.35 42.6% 2.44 41.0%
Over 2.75 2.83 35.3%
Over 3.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 0.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 1.5 2.62 38.2%
Under 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 3.5 1.18 84.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBoston River - Wanderers

Boston River
0 matches total
Wanderers
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history