PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Pro League
Pro League Saudi-Arabia
04.04.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Pro League

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al Taawon

Saudi-Arabia Football
Stadium Kingdom Arena
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 2
Finished
Al Taawon
Al Taawon
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC — 72%

1 · Al-Hilal Saudi FC ✓ Pick72.5%
market77%
X · draw17.0%
market14%
2 · Al Taawon10.5%
market9%

Model estimate: win Al-Hilal Saudi FC 72.5%, draw 17.0%, win Al Taawon 10.5%. Model favourite — Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al Taawon April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Strongest: Al-Hilal Saudi FC - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.40 / 2 10.59
  • 1X2 market: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 76.8% / X 14.5% / Al Taawon 8.8%
  • Glicko: Al-Hilal Saudi FC 72.5% / X 17.0% / Al Taawon 10.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 82.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 ✓ Pick 76.9%
X 14.4%
2 8.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.3%
Over 2.5 66.1%
Under 2.5 33.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 75.6%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.04.2026 18:00 UTC
Stadium Kingdom Arena (Riyadh)

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ?????  ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Al-Hilal Saudi FC 72%
💹 Market Al-Hilal Saudi FC 7680%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Al-Hilal Saudi FC - Al Taawon

Al-Hilal Saudi FC: Win 1.27 Al-Hilal Saudi FC: Draw 4.50 Al Taawon Win: 9.00 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.25 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Al-Hilal Saudi FC bolshe 2.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total golov Al-Hilal Saudi FC menshe 2.5: 1.73 I…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 11
Statistics 24
Lineups 32
min Event Player Team
32' 32' Yellow Card Al Taawon
43' 43' Normal Goal Al-Hilal Saudi FC
55' 55' Normal Goal | Andrei Girotto | assist/sub out: M. Petkov C. Alexiou Al Taawon
64' 64' Substitution 2 | Biel | assist/sub out: F. Al Rashidi Al Taawon
64' 64' Substitution 1 | A. Fulgini | assist/sub out: M. Al Alaeli V. Manuba Al Taawon
67' 67' Normal Goal | Andrei Girotto C. Alexiou Al Taawon
69' 69' Yellow Card Al Taawon
77' 77' Normal Goal Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Metric Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al Taawon SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.36 0.46 final
Zablokirovannye udary 5 2 final
Shots off target 11 2 final
Shots on target 8 2 final
Udary vsego 24 6 final
Fouls soversheno 5 6 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 2 final
Offsides 1 0 final
Al-Hilal Saudi FC #3 Kalidou Koulibaly, #8 Rúben Neves, #9 Marcos Leonardo, #10 Malcom, #18 Murad Al Hawsawi, #19 Theo Hernández, #24 Moteb Al-Harbi, #28 Mohamed Kanno, #37 Bono, #75 M. Meite, #87 Hassan Altambakti
Al Taawon #1 Mailson, #3 Andrei Girotto, #5 Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari, #7 Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi, #8 Flávio, #11 Angelo Fulgini, #18 Ashraf El Mahdioui, #87 Qasim Lajami, #88 M. Petkov
Player Team Metric SStats
Saif Rashad Seyvy 0
Abdulkarim Darisi Al-Hilal Saudi FC football.player.assists 0
Abdulkarim Darisi Al-Hilal Saudi FC Seyvy 0
Abdulkarim Darisi Al-Hilal Saudi FC football.player.minutes_played 8
Abdulkarim Darisi Al-Hilal Saudi FC Klyuchevye pasy 12
Abdulkarim Darisi Al-Hilal Saudi FC Reyting (staryy) 6.7
Abdulkarim Darisi Al-Hilal Saudi FC Otbory vsego 10
Ali Lajami Al-Hilal Saudi FC football.player.assists 0
Ali Lajami Al-Hilal Saudi FC Dribling popytki 1
Ali Lajami Al-Hilal Saudi FC Edinoborstva vsego 1
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 78.2% 72.5% market and model agree
Draw 13.6% 17.0% draw risk
Al Taawon 8.1% 10.5%
xG - 2.33 : 0.76
Total 2.5 Over 82.4% - Under 17.6%
Model check - - Difference 0.06
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.06

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 72.5% / 17.0% / 10.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,778 / 1,582 Al-Hilal Saudi FC / Al Taawon
RD 91 / 81 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.77 market consensus · no value · model 10.5%
X 6.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 72.5%
Double chance
X2 4.02 market consensus · no value · model 27.5%
12 1.09 market consensus · no value · model 83.0%
1X 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 89.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.29 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.41 market consensus · value +16.2% · model 82.4%
Under 2.5 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 17.6%
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0%
X 6.00 16.7% 7.18 13.9% 6.20 16.1% 6.50 15.4% 6.40 15.6% 6.93 14.4%
11.00 9.1% 10.90 9.2% 11.25 8.9% 12.00 8.3% 9.80 10.2% 10.26 9.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% 2.07 48.3% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Betano Betfair Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
draw_away 4.00 25.0% 4.22 23.7% 4.10 24.4% 4.50 22.2% 3.88 25.8% 3.45 29.0% 4.00 25.0%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.05 95.2% 1.09 91.7% —
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2% — 1.03 97.1% —

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.13 88.5% 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.75 — 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.0 — 1.13 88.5%
Over 2.25 — 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5 1.45 69.0% 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.75 — 1.48 67.6%
Over 3.5 2.15 46.5% —
Over 4.5 3.60 27.8% —
Over 5.5 6.50 15.4% —
Under 1.5 5.75 17.4% —
Under 2.5 2.70 37.0% —
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9% —
Under 4.5 1.28 78.1% —
Under 5.5 1.10 90.9% —
Match center
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Founded 1957
Al Taawon
Founded 1956
Match center
? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.