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Regionalliga - Nord
Regionalliga - Nord Germany
05.04.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Regionalliga - Nord

Germany

Eintracht Norderstedt - Werder Bremen II

Germany Football
Stadium Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion
Capacity 5 068
Eintracht Norderstedt
Eintracht Norderstedt
2 : 2
Finished
Werder Bremen II
Werder Bremen II
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Werder Bremen II46%

1 · Eintracht Norderstedt29.9%
X · draw24.5%
2 · Werder Bremen II45.6%

Model estimate: win Eintracht Norderstedt 29.9%, draw 24.5%, win Werder Bremen II 45.6%. Model favourite — Werder Bremen II.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Eintracht Norderstedt - Werder Bremen II April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Werder Bremen II.

Strongest: Werder Bremen II - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.42 / X 3.73 / 2 2.34
  • 1X2 market: Eintracht Norderstedt 37.3% / X 24.2% / Werder Bremen II 38.6%
  • Glicko: Eintracht Norderstedt 29.9% / X 24.5% / Werder Bremen II 45.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 22.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 37.3%
X 24.2%
2 38.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 9.3%
Over 2.5 65.8%
Under 2.5 34.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 2

Main outcome
Agreement 3/4
Confidence 42.9%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 12:00 UTC
Stadium Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion (Norderstedt)
Capacity 5,068

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Werder Bremen II 46%
💹 Market Werder Bremen II 3858%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Eintracht Norderstedt - Werder Bremen II

Eintracht Norderstedt: Win 2.55 Eintracht Norderstedt: Draw 3.75 Werder Bremen II Win: 2.20 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 1.91 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Norderstedt bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov Eintracht Norders…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 4
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
min Event Player Team
32' 32' Normal Goal Eintracht Norderstedt
45+3' 45+3' Normal Goal Eintracht Norderstedt
83' 83' Normal Goal | S. Yildirim Werder Bremen II
90+7' 90+7' Normal Goal Werder Bremen II
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Eintracht Norderstedt 37.2% 29.9%
Draw 24.5% 24.5% draw risk
Werder Bremen II 38.3% 45.6% market and model agree
xG - 1.26 : 1.62
Total 2.5 Over 22.2% - Under 77.8%
Model check - - Difference 0.07
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.07

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 29.9% / 24.5% / 45.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,420 / 1,520 Eintracht Norderstedt / Werder Bremen II
RD 79 / 76 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · weak value +6.8% · model 45.6%
X 3.73 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.42 market consensus · no value · model 29.9%
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · no value · model 70.1%
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 75.6%
1X 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 54.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.68 market consensus · weak value +108.6% · model 77.8%
Both teams to score
No 2.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.43 41.2%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.72 26.9%
2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.31 43.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
no 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.65 37.7% 2.83 35.3%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.34 74.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.48 67.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.25 1.24 80.7%
Over 2.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.75 1.44 69.4%
Over 3.0 1.55 64.5%
Over 3.25 1.74 57.5%
Over 3.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 3.75 2.15 46.5%
Over 4.0 2.56 39.1%
Over 4.25 2.83 35.3%
Over 4.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.75 3.68 27.2%
Over 5.0 4.75 21.1%
Over 5.25 5.05 19.8%
Over 5.5 5.50 18.2%
Match center
Eintracht Norderstedt
Founded 2003
Werder Bremen II
Founded 1899
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.