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Romania. Cup. Qualification
Romania. Cup. Qualification
05.08.2026 14:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 14:30 UTC
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Romania. Cup. Qualification

Dunerya Dzhurdzhu - Cetatea

Football
D
Dunerya Dzhurdzhu
- : -
Not started
C
Cetatea

Dunerya Dzhurdzhu face Cetatea on August 5, 2026 in the Romania. Cup. Qualification.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dunerya Dzhurdzhu — 60%

1 · Dunerya Dzhurdzhu ✓ Pick59.7%
market17%
X · draw18.5%
market21%
2 · Cetatea21.8%
market61%

Model estimate: win Dunerya Dzhurdzhu 59.7%, draw 18.5%, win Cetatea 21.8%. Model favourite — Dunerya Dzhurdzhu.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dunerya Dzhurdzhu (odds1.99) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Dunerya Dzhurdzhu: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dunerya Dzhurdzhu - Cetatea August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Cetatea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.40 / X 4.32 / 2 1.51

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 ✓ Pick 17.2%
X 21.5%
2 61.4%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dunerya Dzhurdzhu 4 : 0 Cetatea
15.32
X4.25
21.48

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 14:30 UTC
Market 1 17.2% @ 5.40 / X 21.5% @ 4.32 / 2 61.4% @ 1.51
Match center

Dunerya Dzhurdzhu - Cetatea

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dunerya Dzhurdzhu 17.2% 59.7% Glicko contrarian
Draw 21.5% 18.5% draw risk
Cetatea 61.4% 21.8% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.7% / 18.5% / 21.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,673 / 1,500 Dunerya Dzhurdzhu / Cetatea
RD 276 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,121-2,225 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.51 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 21.8%
X 4.32 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 5.40 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 59.7%
Handicap
2 -1 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.30 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.40 18.5%
X 2.58 38.8%
2.01 49.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 1.5 1.67 59.9%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.94 51.6%
1.77 56.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-1-4, avg 4.14 gls
2025-12-12 · Dunarea Dzhurdzhu 2:4 Chetatya Turnu-Megurele
2025-09-26 · Dunarea Dzhurdzhu 1:1 Chetatya Turnu-Megurele
2025-05-24 · Dunarea Dzhurdzhu 2:5 Chetatya Turnu-Megurele
2025-04-18 · Dunarea Dzhurdzhu 0:3 Chetatya Turnu-Megurele
2024-12-07 · Dunarea Dzhurdzhu 2:0 Chetatya Turnu-Megurele
Source: ruscore
Dunerya Dzhurdzhu
W
29.07 12:30 UTC Romania: Cup Rumynii - Qualifying
Dunerya Dzhurdzhu 3:0 Aleksandriya
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points