Progresul Mogosoaia meet Voința Crevedia on August 5, 2026 in the Romania. Cup. Qualification.
Recent form (W-D-L): Progresul Mogosoaia 1-0-0, Voința Crevedia 1-0-0. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Progresul Mogosoaia — 52%
52%1
1 · Progresul Mogosoaia52.0%
X · draw19.5%
2 · Voința Crevedia28.5%
Model estimate: win Progresul Mogosoaia 52.0%, draw 19.5%, win Voința Crevedia 28.5%. Model favourite — Progresul Mogosoaia.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
134.9%
X26.0%
239.1%
Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Cupa României
League table
Progresul Mogosoaia
#133 ptsGP 11-0-03:0
Voința Crevedia
#173 ptsGP 11-0-03:1
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Progresul Mogosoaia1:2Voința Crevedia
12.32
X3.40
22.74
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Progresul Mogosoaia34.9%52.0%Glicko contrarian
Draw26.0%19.5%draw risk
Voința Crevedia39.1%28.5%market favourite
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P252.0% / 19.5% / 28.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,699 / 1,700
Mogosoaia / Vointa Crevedia
RD291 / 291
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,117-2,281 / 1,118-2,283
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
22.37
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 28.5%
X3.56
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.65
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 52.0%
Handicap
2 01.76
market consensus · line only
1 01.95
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.51.78
market consensus · line only
Under 2.52.05
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No2.16
market consensus · line only
Yes1.62
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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